Ascoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NUO
1 - 3
ASC
26%
27%
47%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2022 |
TER
2 - 4
ASC
50%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 4
USC
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 0
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
PRG
0 - 1
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
ASS
2 - 2
PRG
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
TER
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
PRG
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 0
VIC
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |