Ascoli vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
40.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
USF
3 - 0
ASC
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAR
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
SPE
1 - 1
ASC
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ASC
2 - 1
TER
44%
26%
30%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
CTT
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
2 - 0
FRO
36%
28%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 2
PAL
31%
28%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 2
PAR
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
PAR
3 - 1
USF
41%
26%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |