Ascoli vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASC
47%
28%
26%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ASC
4 - 0
CAM
72%
18%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASC
43%
31%
26%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 1
PRG
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASC
32%
32%
37%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
45%
32%
24%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
PRG
0 - 0
PAL
50%
29%
20%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
PAL
0 - 0
GEN
43%
31%
26%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
USC
1 - 1
PAL
61%
24%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PAL
1 - 1
EMP
47%
30%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |