Ascoli vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
41%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
LEC
2 - 1
ASC
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 1
GEN
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
ANC
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ASC
0 - 0
VER
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2002 |
TRI
2 - 1
NAP
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2002 |
NAP
0 - 0
PAL
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAP
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
LEC
43%
27%
31%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
GEN
3 - 1
NAP
42%
26%
33%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |