Ascoli vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
29.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
ASC
2 - 1
FIO
42%
29%
30%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
VIC
1 - 1
ASC
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
AVE
3 - 1
ASC
34%
29%
38%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 0
ATL
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
NAP
1 - 0
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
FCC
0 - 0
NAP
44%
29%
27%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
NAP
0 - 2
LAZ
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
44%
29%
27%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
NAP
1 - 1
PRG
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |