Ascoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
63%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.4%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASC
48%
26%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
ASC
2 - 0
ACI
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
TOR
2 - 1
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
0 - 1
TOR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
ASC
1 - 0
MOD
35%
29%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2005 |
UDI
1 - 1
ACM
29%
28%
44%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 3
ACM
21%
24%
55%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
ACM
3 - 3
PAL
79%
15%
7%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
ACM
20%
27%
53%
|
93 | 78 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACM
0 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |