Ascoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
26.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 1
ASC
33%
31%
37%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
ASC
0 - 0
GEN
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
ROM
1 - 1
ASC
73%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
ASC
0 - 0
TOR
50%
28%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
ASC
1 - 0
UDI
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1983 |
ACM
1 - 0
GEN
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1983 |
NAP
0 - 0
ACM
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1983 |
ACM
2 - 2
FIO
51%
26%
24%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1983 |
INT
2 - 0
ACM
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1983 |
ACM
4 - 1
LAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |