Ascoli vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 2
ASC
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
ASC
3 - 0
BEN
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ASC
4 - 0
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 2
ASC
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAL
51%
27%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOD
28%
25%
48%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUS
23%
24%
54%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | +1 |