Ascoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
PES
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
ANC
3 - 0
ASC
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 1
ASC
66%
19%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
LIV
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 2
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 2
ANC
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
PES
1 - 1
LEC
24%
25%
52%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
71%
18%
12%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 2
UDI
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
TOR
1 - 1
LEC
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |