Ascoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
23.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1995 |
COM
3 - 1
ASC
36%
30%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 0
COS
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
ACI
0 - 1
ASC
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1995 |
ANC
1 - 1
ASC
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 2
SAL
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 2
PIA
32%
31%
38%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 0
LEC
48%
28%
25%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 4
PRG
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
UDI
3 - 2
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
LEC
3 - 1
CHI
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |