Ascoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASC
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
TER
0 - 2
ASC
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
ASC
0 - 0
REG
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
USC
3 - 1
ASC
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1992 |
TAR
1 - 1
LEC
34%
31%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1992 |
LEC
2 - 1
USC
42%
31%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 1992 |
VER
3 - 3
LEC
55%
26%
19%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 0
MOD
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |