Ascoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
PES
0 - 0
ASC
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
ASC
2 - 2
SAM
27%
30%
44%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
JUV
2 - 0
ASC
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
ASC
1 - 1
FIO
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
INT
3 - 1
ASC
72%
19%
9%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1989 |
LEC
0 - 0
COM
50%
28%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1989 |
PIS
1 - 1
LEC
57%
25%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1989 |
LEC
0 - 0
ROM
27%
28%
45%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1989 |
NAP
4 - 0
LEC
82%
13%
5%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1989 |
LEC
0 - 0
VER
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |