Ascoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
GEN
1 - 0
ASC
45%
28%
26%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
BRE
1 - 0
ASC
40%
30%
30%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
ASC
3 - 2
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
VIC
3 - 1
ASC
47%
28%
26%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
ASC
4 - 0
CAM
72%
18%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 0
CAT
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
CAG
2 - 0
LAZ
42%
33%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1986 |
LAZ
3 - 4
VIC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1986 |
TRI
0 - 0
LAZ
52%
28%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1986 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SSS
60%
25%
15%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |