Ascoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
34%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
VER
1 - 0
ASC
57%
26%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
46%
32%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ACM
4 - 0
ASC
75%
17%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ASC
1 - 1
TOR
30%
32%
38%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
CAG
0 - 0
ASC
58%
26%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 1
ROM
54%
26%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
JUV
2 - 0
LAZ
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
FCB
4 - 0
LAZ
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1975 |
LAZ
0 - 3
FCB
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |