Ascoli vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.4%
39.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
CAG
2 - 0
ASC
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
ASC
1 - 3
BOL
32%
32%
37%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
TER
1 - 0
ASC
54%
26%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
VIC
43%
32%
25%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ASC
1 - 0
SAM
45%
30%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1975 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ACM
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1975 |
FIO
1 - 1
LAZ
54%
25%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1974 |
LAZ
1 - 0
JUV
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
VAR
0 - 1
LAZ
34%
30%
36%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
TOR
2 - 2
LAZ
54%
26%
21%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |