Ascoli vs L'Aquila analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
SAS
1 - 1
ASC
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIR
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
CHI
3 - 0
ASC
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
VIS
69%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CAS
0 - 3
ASC
29%
28%
42%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
L'Aquila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
LAQ
0 - 1
VIS
50%
25%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
GIU
2 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
LAQ
1 - 1
PES
28%
26%
46%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
SOR
0 - 1
LAQ
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
FER
2 - 1
LAQ
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |