Ascoli vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
0 - 1
SAS
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NOC
0 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2011 |
ASG
2 - 3
ASC
28%
29%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 2
TOR
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2011 |
VER
2 - 2
PAD
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 1
VER
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
VER
1 - 0
SAS
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2011 |
JUS
1 - 2
VER
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2011 |
VER
1 - 2
PES
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |