Ascoli vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
FIO
0 - 0
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
ASC
3 - 1
CAT
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
VIC
2 - 3
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
ASC
0 - 0
PIA
30%
29%
41%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
ASC
3 - 2
TER
35%
27%
38%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
VER
1 - 2
CAG
33%
28%
40%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
TOR
1 - 1
VER
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VER
1 - 2
PAL
33%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
LIV
3 - 0
VER
57%
23%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
VER
0 - 0
MES
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |