Ascoli vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
TOR
3 - 1
ASC
76%
15%
9%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 1
ACM
26%
27%
47%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
BOL
0 - 0
ASC
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ASC
0 - 0
NAP
41%
30%
29%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 0
ASC
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
VER
0 - 1
AVE
60%
23%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
INT
4 - 0
VER
69%
21%
10%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
VER
0 - 3
JUV
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1979 |
ROM
2 - 0
VER
62%
24%
15%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
NAP
1 - 0
VER
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |