Ascoli vs Gualdo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 1
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ASC
1 - 1
FIA
60%
23%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 2
ASC
19%
24%
57%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 2
ARZ
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 1
ASC
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Gualdo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
GUA
3 - 1
ARZ
28%
27%
45%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 3
GUA
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 3
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1999 |
GIU
2 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 1
CAT
27%
27%
46%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |