Ascoli vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 1
ASC
18%
24%
59%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 1
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
VIT
2 - 2
ASC
21%
25%
54%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
ASC
5 - 0
MAR
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 35 | 30 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
CAS
0 - 2
ASC
49%
25%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 3
GIU
44%
26%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 1
LOD
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 1
GIU
73%
18%
9%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
GIU
1 - 0
AVE
20%
25%
55%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
GIU
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |