Ascoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
31.3%
Draw
0-0
14.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 0
ATL
30%
30%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ACM
4 - 1
ASC
80%
15%
5%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
ASC
0 - 4
TOR
31%
31%
39%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASC
55%
27%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 1
ROM
22%
27%
52%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
GEN
3 - 2
FIO
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
USC
2 - 1
GEN
30%
33%
38%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
GEN
3 - 4
NAP
35%
29%
36%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
USF
1 - 0
GEN
42%
29%
29%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
GEN
1 - 1
TOR
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |