Ascoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
ASC
3 - 1
BRE
70%
20%
10%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
PAL
0 - 0
ASC
40%
32%
28%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
CAM
2 - 2
ASC
34%
31%
35%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAT
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 0
CES
57%
27%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
TRI
2 - 1
GEN
50%
29%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
GEN
1 - 1
BRE
61%
25%
14%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
FCC
1 - 1
GEN
45%
31%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GEN
2 - 0
PAL
60%
25%
16%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |