Ascoli vs Forli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
REG
0 - 2
ASC
32%
28%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 0
PON
51%
25%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ASC
2 - 2
ASG
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 2
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 1
PIS
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
ASG
19%
25%
56%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ACP
3 - 1
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASL
22%
25%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
TUT
3 - 2
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 2
ANC
19%
26%
55%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -2 |