Ascoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 3
ASC
28%
23%
48%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 2
ASC
23%
26%
51%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ASC
3 - 0
PES
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAG
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 1
COM
80%
15%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 0
CAS
86%
10%
4%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
20%
28%
53%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
PES
0 - 2
FIO
18%
27%
55%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
FIO
33%
32%
35%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |