Ascoli vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 3
LIV
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
39%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 2
SAL
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
EMP
3 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 2
MOD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
USF
1 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CRO
2 - 1
PRG
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ARZ
4 - 0
CRO
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 2
GAL
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SOR
1 - 0
CRO
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |