Ascoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1989 |
ASC
0 - 0
LAZ
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
ACM
5 - 1
ASC
73%
19%
8%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
ASC
2 - 0
NAP
25%
30%
45%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
TOR
1 - 1
ASC
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
ASC
3 - 1
ATL
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1989 |
FCC
5 - 2
UDI
38%
32%
30%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1989 |
MES
3 - 0
FCC
58%
26%
16%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1989 |
TAR
1 - 1
FCC
43%
32%
25%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1989 |
FCC
1 - 1
AVE
37%
30%
32%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1989 |
USC
0 - 0
FCC
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |