Ascoli vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1985 |
INT
5 - 1
ASC
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1985 |
ASC
3 - 2
USC
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
ACM
2 - 1
ASC
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ASC
0 - 1
UDI
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ASC
1 - 1
JUV
20%
25%
55%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 3
FCC
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
FCC
2 - 1
UDI
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
FCC
0 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 2
FCC
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
FCC
1 - 1
SAM
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |