Ascoli vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
16.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2000 |
GIU
1 - 0
ASC
22%
25%
54%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 2
LOD
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASC
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
ASC
1 - 1
VIT
68%
20%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASC
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
JUS
1 - 2
CAT
53%
25%
22%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
CRO
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 1
CAT
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VIT
0 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |