Ascoli vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
12%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1973 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASC
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
ASC
2 - 0
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
REG
0 - 0
ASC
27%
28%
45%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ASC
1 - 1
BRI
65%
22%
13%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
ATL
1 - 1
ASC
51%
28%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRI
48%
28%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAT
60%
25%
15%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
CAT
0 - 0
COM
52%
30%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
REG
4 - 1
CAT
55%
27%
17%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAT
41%
32%
26%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |