Ascoli vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
COS
2 - 2
ASC
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
VNZ
2 - 0
ASC
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ASC
0 - 3
COM
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASC
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
ASC
2 - 1
SAS
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
SAS
5 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
FER
0 - 1
CAS
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 0
LAQ
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
VIT
0 - 2
CAS
43%
28%
29%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |