Ascoli vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
BEN
1 - 1
ASC
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
AVE
0 - 1
ASC
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ASC
1 - 1
GUA
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
PAL
0 - 1
ASC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ASC
1 - 1
FIA
60%
23%
16%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CAS
0 - 0
JUS
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
0 - 1
ARZ
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 0
CAS
24%
27%
50%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
CAS
1 - 0
NOC
60%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |