Ascoli vs Campobasso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.3%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
CAT
0 - 0
ASC
43%
31%
26%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 1
PRG
70%
20%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASC
32%
32%
37%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASC
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Campobasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1986 |
EMP
0 - 0
CAM
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
32%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAM
56%
28%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
CAM
1 - 0
GEN
40%
32%
28%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
USC
0 - 0
CAM
62%
24%
14%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |