Ascoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BEN
1 - 2
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
VER
25%
26%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
ASC
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ASC
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
USF
3 - 2
ASC
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 0
CTT
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
PRG
3 - 2
PAD
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
32%
30%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
2 - 1
PAD
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | -1 |