Ascoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
ASL
0 - 0
ASC
44%
29%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
ASC
2 - 0
ASS
75%
17%
9%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
PES
1 - 0
ASC
56%
24%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
ASC
1 - 0
PAL
72%
18%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
TOR
0 - 0
ASC
72%
18%
10%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
PAD
3 - 1
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1993 |
ASL
2 - 2
PAD
47%
31%
23%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
PAD
2 - 1
COS
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
ROM
1 - 0
PAD
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |