Ascoli vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
CES
2 - 0
ASC
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAT
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
FCC
3 - 1
ASC
53%
26%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ASC
0 - 1
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASC
43%
23%
34%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
LEC
1 - 1
TAR
46%
31%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
70%
21%
9%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1972 |
LEC
0 - 1
BAR
40%
33%
27%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1972 |
ARZ
1 - 1
LEC
57%
28%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
LEC
1 - 1
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | +1 |