Ascoli vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
JUV
1 - 0
ASC
81%
14%
6%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 2
INT
22%
28%
51%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
USC
3 - 1
ASC
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
FIO
1 - 2
ASC
70%
20%
11%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
ASC
2 - 1
USF
44%
26%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1992 |
CAG
1 - 1
GEN
33%
31%
36%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1992 |
PAR
1 - 1
CAG
58%
25%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1992 |
CAG
4 - 0
FIO
28%
30%
42%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 1992 |
CAG
0 - 0
ATL
31%
31%
39%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1992 |
INT
0 - 0
CAG
75%
17%
8%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |