Ascoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
VER
3 - 1
ASC
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASC
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
ASC
0 - 0
VIC
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
MOD
1 - 1
ASC
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 4
LIV
44%
26%
29%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 2
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 0
VER
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
SAS
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |