Ascoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
TAR
1 - 0
ASC
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
ASC
2 - 1
REG
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
CAT
4 - 6
ASC
35%
29%
36%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
ASC
1 - 1
NAP
32%
30%
38%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASC
47%
29%
25%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1987 |
BRE
2 - 2
INT
23%
27%
50%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1987 |
BRE
4 - 0
TAR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
REG
1 - 0
BRE
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1987 |
JUV
3 - 2
BRE
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1987 |
BRE
1 - 2
ASC
47%
29%
25%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |