Ascoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
12.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
FIO
2 - 1
ASC
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
ASC
0 - 0
TOR
38%
30%
32%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
INT
1 - 2
ASC
73%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
ASC
0 - 0
ROM
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
ASC
1 - 2
FCC
56%
26%
18%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 0
COM
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
PRG
0 - 0
BRE
57%
28%
15%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 1
UDI
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 0
CAG
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
INT
0 - 0
BRE
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |