Ascoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
ROM
1 - 1
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
CES
2 - 1
ASC
44%
29%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
ASC
2 - 0
COM
62%
23%
15%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASC
50%
27%
24%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
ASC
1 - 1
LEC
64%
22%
14%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1989 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
23%
29%
47%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1989 |
TOR
1 - 1
BOL
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
2 - 2
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1989 |
LAZ
0 - 0
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1989 |
BOL
0 - 0
SAM
26%
29%
45%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |