Ascoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
21.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
NAP
2 - 1
ASC
68%
20%
13%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
VAR
1 - 0
ASC
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ASC
0 - 1
TER
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
ROM
2 - 1
ASC
55%
22%
23%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
PIS
0 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
VIC
1 - 1
BOL
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
BOL
0 - 1
BAR
83%
12%
5%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |