Ascoli vs Benevento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ASC
4 - 0
AVE
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
GUA
2 - 2
ASC
22%
24%
54%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
ASC
0 - 1
PAL
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASC
46%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
ASC
1 - 2
BAR
23%
25%
52%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Benevento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
0 - 2
ANC
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CAT
0 - 0
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BEN
1 - 0
AVE
39%
27%
34%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
PAL
1 - 1
BEN
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1984 |
CAM
3 - 1
BEN
51%
23%
27%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |