Ascoli vs Atl. Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASC
32%
29%
39%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
3 - 1
NOC
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASC
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 2
ANC
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 2
AVE
29%
28%
44%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAT
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
1 - 4
GIU
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAT
58%
23%
19%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2000 |
CAT
0 - 1
ARZ
31%
27%
41%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |