Ascoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
ASC
4 - 1
PIA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
ASC
3 - 2
GEN
51%
24%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 2
ASC
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 1
CAG
39%
26%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
CHI
1 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
REG
1 - 1
ATL
46%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
LIV
4 - 2
ATL
39%
27%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 1
INT
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 93 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
UDI
2 - 3
ATL
51%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
ATL
3 - 1
SIE
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |