Ascoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.1%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
40.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ACM
4 - 1
ASC
80%
15%
5%
|
69 | 91 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
ASC
0 - 4
TOR
31%
31%
39%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
PAR
2 - 0
ASC
55%
27%
18%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ASC
1 - 1
ROM
22%
27%
52%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
VER
1 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
27%
30%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
ATL
1 - 0
INT
25%
29%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATL
57%
24%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1992 |
ATL
0 - 0
VER
52%
28%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1991 |
BAR
0 - 0
ATL
37%
29%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |