Ascoli vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
10%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2008 |
PIA
2 - 0
ASC
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASC
0 - 2
GRO
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
AVE
0 - 2
ASC
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2008 |
BOL
1 - 0
ASC
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ASC
0 - 1
BAR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 0
LIV
26%
28%
47%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
TRI
2 - 1
CTT
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
CTT
0 - 2
EMP
26%
28%
46%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2008 |
TRE
0 - 1
CTT
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |