Ascoli vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
ASC
3 - 1
CAT
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASC
32%
29%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
3 - 1
NOC
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
JUS
1 - 1
ASC
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
ASC
2 - 2
ANC
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 2
CTT
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
CTT
4 - 0
USC
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
SPA
1 - 1
CTT
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
CTT
3 - 1
ABN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
CAR
1 - 2
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |