Ascoli vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
10.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
18.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
11.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 1
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
PIS
0 - 0
ASC
34%
29%
37%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
ASC
1 - 0
COM
68%
22%
10%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
SSS
0 - 0
ASC
35%
31%
34%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ASC
3 - 0
BRE
63%
23%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 0
TAR
51%
30%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VAR
2 - 2
BAR
57%
27%
16%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
BAR
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASS
45%
31%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
USC
1 - 1
BAR
49%
30%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |