Ascoli vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
SAL
2 - 0
ASC
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
ASC
0 - 2
PIA
45%
30%
26%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
CHI
1 - 1
ASC
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
PAL
2 - 0
ASC
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1994 |
ANC
1 - 2
COS
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1994 |
COM
1 - 3
ANC
29%
31%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1994 |
ANC
4 - 2
ATL
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
UDI
2 - 2
ANC
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
ANC
3 - 0
ACI
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |